Let me start by retracting my previous statement about palin and soccer moms. What i failed to realize when i wrote that is that her plan was to get down to our level so to speak. She wanted to portray herself as one of us.
Anyway, lets talk about the polls. The Gallup Poll has Obama leading by 7% today. But, even though seemingly every poll and all the media say that Obama has won it already, you cant know till its over. While watching the news this morning they talked about this very subject. While talking about this they brought up the 1982 governor election in California. A black man was a candidate in the election, and was ahead almost 10% in the polls. For the last month before the elections it was clear that he would be the next governor, his name was Arnold Bradley(correct me if i am wrong). When the elections were over, he had lost the race. Even though the polls had said he was up by 10% he still lost. They then named this the Bradley effect. It means that people will agree with one candidate because it is popular, and becuase they dont want to appear to be racist in this case. So even though the polls have Obama way ahead of Mccain, you wont be sure till the election is over.
Sunday, October 12, 2008
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1 comment:
I agree with you i dont think the polls are reliable
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